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LAST WEEK’S RESULT
Prediction: Denver 24, Los Angeles 20
Actual: Denver 23, Los Angeles 22
BACKGROUND
The Denver Broncos won a game last Sunday. This is notable for two reasons: First, the Broncos do not win as much as they used to and, second, this was the type of game that they have typically lost over the last 3 years. It was great to see them pull one out (and stunning to realize this 4-6 team is a missed long pass and field goal away from being 6-4!). I am not the type of want the team I love to lose games for better draft position. I’d so much rather watch them win!
Now comes a test: the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Steelers just won an emotional game against the Jacksonville Jaguars and may overlook the Broncos. The Steelers also rarely play well in Denver (Denver has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, including playoffs). Are the Broncos catching the Steelers at the right time?
KEY MATCH UP
Denver’s offensive line was special against the Los Angeles Chargers last week. It is a patchwork group, at best, made up of backups and people playing out of position. And, still, they kept quarterback Case Keenum clean and did not record a holding call. If they play as well against Pittsburgh’s defensive line this week, Denver will have a chance to get the running game going at home which could make for a long day for the Steelers.
X-FACTOR
Case Keenum played horribly for 3 quarters last week. Then he played great. Like, super great. He has also not thrown an interception over the course of the last two weeks and has had the team in position to win both games.
Has he turned a corner?
If he plays well against the Steelers, we may have to re-evaluate this signing.
PREDICTION
Given that I picked my heart over my head last week and things worked out, I am going to do so again this week. I like Denver. I like the intangibles. I think they point in the Broncos’ direction.